IP-SoC trip report (part I): how analyst sees the future of IP (and forecast the past)

I will share with you the most interesting I have heard during IP-SoC 2010, last December in Grenoble. Today, let’s summarize what I heard about the future of the IP business. The presentation was done by Gartner, in the “Auditorium” (largest room). It first started with the results for 2010, and I took some notes, as you can see the business figures are very informative:

  • Overall IP business growth (2010/2009) was +24.8%, for a total of $1677M
  • IP licensing (50% of total) grew by 20%, royalties (42%) grew by +31% and maintenance/services (8%) by 25%.

This “forecast” is useful, as well as some trends proposed by Gartner about the IP market:

  • Innovation is moving from chip level to system level was the clear message. Or, if you prefer, be prepared to provide not only a piece of H/W to be used within a chip, but a more complete solution integrating several pieces of H/W, the drivers for these, and the S/W at system level. (We will come back to this in a next post).
  • In Automotive and Industrial, the IP usage will be growing from being 5 to 10% of a chip to 30 to 40% within 3-5 years.
  • In Wireless, IP usage will double and pass from 20% today to 40% in 2013/14.

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