No nanoelectronics technology can replace CMOS until 2030, says TI exec

Anne-Francoise Pele
EETimes Europe (10/02/2008 7:44 AM EDT)

SOPHIA ANTIPOLIS — Fifty years ago, Jack St. Clair Kilby, working for Texas Instruments Inc. (Dallas, Texas), invented the integrated circuit. At the SAME Forum, in the Science Technological Park of Sophia Antipolis, South of France, Dennis Buss, chief scientist at TI, gave a retrospective look and a prospective analysis of the semiconductor industry as Moore's law is expected to stagnate toward the end of the next decade.

Looking back on 38 years of history, and more precisely 38 years of semiconductor scaling, Buss highlighted that, at every generation, feature size shrinks by 70 percent, transistor density doubles, wafer cost increases by 20 percent, and chip cost comes down by 40 percent. Generations, he continued, occur regularly, on average, every 2.9 years over the past 35 years. Recently, it has occurred every 2 years.

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