Predicting Semiconductor Industry Growth: Drop the Crystal Ball and Use the Gompertz Curve
By using the well-tested Gompertz function, semiconductor companies have a way to determine areas in which to focus their attention and investments.
Is there a way to predict the future of semiconductor revenue driven by new products? This was the provocative question Dr. Walden (Wally) Rhines, Chairman and CEO of Mentor Graphics, asked and answered in a recent keynote presentation at Mentor's U2U User Group in Munich, Germany.
Wally started by looking at the history of the semiconductor industry and observed that, over time, its growth has been powered by applications that took off and grew enormous amounts of revenue. Examples include the calculator, the PC, and the wireless handset revolution. Each stepped up the revenue, grew, and flattened, and then a new product came along and the cycle repeated itself.
To read the full article, click here
Related Semiconductor IP
- NPU IP Core for Mobile
- NPU IP Core for Edge
- Specialized Video Processing NPU IP
- HYPERBUS™ Memory Controller
- AV1 Video Encoder IP
Related Blogs
- A Brief History of the Fabless Semiconductor Industry
- Dr. Wally Rhines on global semiconductor industry outlook 2013
- Global semiconductor industry to grow 7.9 percent in 2013
- Silicon Valley Must Reinvigorate the Semiconductor Industry
Latest Blogs
- Cadence Extends Support for Automotive Solutions on Arm Zena Compute Subsystems
- The Role of GPU in AI: Tech Impact & Imagination Technologies
- Time-of-Flight Decoding with Tensilica Vision DSPs - AI's Role in ToF Decoding
- Synopsys Expands Collaboration with Arm to Accelerate the Automotive Industry’s Transformation to Software-Defined Vehicles
- Deep Robotics and Arm Power the Future of Autonomous Mobility